Episode 5 in place.
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# Operation Saylor - Episode 5/120
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Hi again and welcome to another episode of the Operation Saylor. This is update number 5, corresponding to September
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Hi again and welcome to another episode of the Operation Saylor. This is update number 5, corresponding to November
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2022.
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If you are reading this for first time, you might want to check [Episode 1](https://stacker.news/items/47539), where my
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@ -12,30 +13,77 @@ plan and details are explained. That will get you in context.
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- BTC stack: 1.1628 BTC
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- € stack: 6,535.20 €
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- Current total value in €: XX,XXX.XX €
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- Current total value in €: 25,140.00 €
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- € into BTC: 25,000 €
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- Paid back to bank: 1,464.8 €
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- Paid back to bank: 1,464.80 €
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- Outstanding debt: 42,479.53 €
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- Installments to go: 116
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Charts
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- Value of stack vs Outstanding debt with the bank
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---
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## Log
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Last week I visited a friend who is growing a couple of marijuana plants at his
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home. We had an interesting discussion.
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During last month I came across a couple of reads and a new company that brought me to think I'm not as crazy as I look
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like.
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- My point of view: legalize, much better option than alcohol. Reference book.
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- The inmortal roots: decentralization as the biggest headache for state control
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- Alcohol vs Marijuana production
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- The simplicity of it
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- The power of the alcohol and meds lobby
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- I wish bitcoin to be even more resilient than marijuana is
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The first read was a section of the Fiat Standard, where Saifedean discusses possible scenarios on how a transition
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from a fiat world to a hyperbitcoinized one could look like. On it, he discusses that there are both forces that push
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for a smooth transition as well as for an abrupt one. As part of his analysis, he presents the following:
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A counter-point to consider to the preceding two sections' analysis is the
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impact of the strategy of borrowing dollars to buy bitcoin. While many
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people would be tempted to exit fiat debt entirely and shift to holding hard
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bitcoin savings, the continued existence and wide availability of fiat debt
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will offer a strong incentive to borrow fiat and use it to accumulate bitcoin.
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One of the smartest and most far-seeing analysts of bitcoin, Pierre
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Rochard, had identified this phenomenon as early as 2013, outlining how
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bitcoin allows investors worldwide to carry out a speculative attack on all
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national currencies similar to what George Soros and beneficiaries of low
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interest rate lending have been doing to weak national currencies for
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decades, with spectacular success. The speculative attack strategy is to
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borrow the weak currency, and use the proceeds to buy the stronger
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currency. As the borrowing of the weak currency causes an increase in its
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supply, selling it to buy the strong currency causes a decrease in demand
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for it, and results in the decline of its value next to the stronger currency.
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This reduces the value of the loan the attacker owes, and increases the
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value of the currency he holds, a highly lucrative combination. With bitcoin
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a harder currency than all national currencies, it could serve as the perfect
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launchpad for attacks against national currencies. It is a natural evolution
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of the interaction between the two forms of money: hard bitcoin is
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optimized for appreciating as it is held, while fiat is optimized for devaluing
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as it is inflated and lent. The likelihood of speculative attacks casts doubt
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on the monetary upgrade scenario discussed above. How long can fiat
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survive if people can keep inflating its supply by borrowing it to buy harder
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bitcoin? We have never seen a similar situation and it is hard to estimate how this will unfold.
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So apparently, I have started an speculative attack on the euro without even noticing. Shit happens.
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After reading that, I pulled the string to
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the [original piece by Pierre Rochard](https://nakamotoinstitute.org/mempool/speculative-attack/)
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, which I highly recommend you go and read now. It's concise and extremely insightful.
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The part that gets me most excited and simultaneously scared is the idea, proposed both by Saifedean and Pierre, that
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the inevitability of the speculative attack makes Bitcoin adoption an accelerating phenomenon, and not a slowly fading
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one as many people picture. Not a logarithmic curve, kind of like the chart of BTC in circulation by year, but rather
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an S curve, where the fastest middle part might break a few necks.
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Lastly, I recently learned about this soon-to-launch company called [Faucet21](https://faucet21.com/). Their proposal?
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Giving away personal loans like the one I got with the sole purpose of buying Bitcoin. As they put it, "Distributed,
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Retail Level speculative attack". They even have a nice calculator you can use to simulate the expected return of this
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strategy. You can go and play with my loan's numbers, for example.
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When I started planning and executing Operation Saylor, I knew I was not the only one having this idea. But now, I must
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say I'm surprised at how old the idea is and how common it could eventually become. Because, from a game theory lens,
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every person that jumps on the loan-for-BTC boat is hurting the fiat and strengthening Bitcoin. If enough people do
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it... It reminds of the old quote from Satoshi: “It might make sense just to get some in case it catches on. If
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enough people think the same way, that becomes a self fulfilling prophecy.”
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Well, I hope some of you don't think I'm that crazy after today's read, and perhaps some might even be thinking about
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joining the club. I'll see you again next month.
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---
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