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README.md
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README.md
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# Operation Saylor
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Operation Saylor is a financial investment with the goal of:
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- Earning BTC
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- Collaborating in the collapse of fiat
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- Keeping my wealth underground
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This repo contains documentation on the plan and the execution. A brief index
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of the contents:
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- `plan.md`: an overview of the general approach.
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- `register.xlsx`: a small spreadsheet to keep track of all transactions.
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- `simulation`: stuff to simulation the operation saylor itself according to
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historical data. Was mainly used to make the decision of pulling the trigger,
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but it would be interesting to compare in the future how things went against
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these simulations.
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- `xpub`: the xpub of the cold wallet.
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plan.md
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plan.md
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# Operation Saylor plan
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The idea of Operation Saylor is to:
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- Borrow money from the bank through a personal loan.
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- Quickly DCA the loan into BTC.
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- Pay the loan back by slowly turning as-small-as-possible amounts of BTC into
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fiat as-late-as-possible.
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- Hope that, by the time the loan is paid back in full, there is some BTC left.
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And hopefully, with a decent economical value.
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## Loan conditions
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The loan I can get through my usual bank (Bankinter) comes with the following
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conditions:
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- Principal: 33.200€
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- 120 installments in 120 months
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- APR 5,99%, APY6,16%
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- Each installment would be of 368,42€
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- Early amortization penalty of 1%
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- No opening costs
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## Capital deployment and transacting
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The whole operation will be undercover, tax-wise. All buys and sells will
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happen P2P through bisq (or any better KYC-free service that appears in the
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future) and won't be reported to any tax office.
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To minimize the risk of entering in the very-worst-moment, the loan principal
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will be used to purchase BTC in equal fiat amounts during six months. Not all
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of it will be deployed: the equivalent to 3 months of installments will be left
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in fiat. Any time this small fiat amount goes below two installments, a small
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piece of BTC will be sold to have at least 3 installments in the account again.
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To be quiet and secretive, the purchases during the first six months will
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happen through four different bank accounts. That will spread the volume enough
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across different entities so that no single observe can realize the actual
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extent of the operation purchases.
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## BTC funds storage
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The BTC funds from the operation will be stored in two locations:
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- A small stash of (initially) 0.1 BTC will be kept in the bisq hot wallet for
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convenience when turning BTC to fiat to pay installments.
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- All the rest of the BTC will be stored in a BTC cold wallet. The seed phrase
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will be generated with a Coldcard MK3. Paper copies will be left in the usual
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locations. A xpub will be used to set up a watch only wallet, and also kept
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in this repository in case that wallet fails.
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## Accounting
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I will keep the accounting from Operation Saylor as separate as possible from
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my personal accounting. I want to track the performance of this Operation on
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its own, without blurring it because it gets mixed with my personal finances.
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Even so, there is an issue: the fiat I will be using during Operation Saylor
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needs to live in my own personal fiat accounts. If I don't record that fiat in
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my ledgers, I won't ever be able to properly reconcile my fiat balances without
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tremendous effort and a high chance of screwing up, with the awful consequences
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of the confusion that would come forth.
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To fix this, I will include the fiat amounts in my personal accounting in the
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following way: I will open sub-accounts for Operation Saylor in the four fiat
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accounts I am planning on using. All the money related to the Operation will be
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recorded in these "virtual" accounts. This way, I will keep it separate from my
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personal balance and still be able to reconcile the total account balance with
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what will appear in my online banking systems. The origin of these funds will be
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a liability account, reflecting that this money doesn't really belong to "me",
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but rather to Operation Saylor.
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Regarding the BTC balance and all purchases and sales, I will run a separate
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spreadsheet to record those. That will enable a more flexible tracking and playing
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around with data than what gnucash would allow me to, and the operations are
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going to be simple enough so that the serious ledger is not missed.
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## Expected results
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## Evangelizing
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register.xlsx
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simulation/BTC-USD.csv
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simulation/BTC-USD.csv
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simulation/loan_simulator.ipynb
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simulation/loan_simulator.ipynb
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